My Electoral Predictions

4 November 2008, 1150 EST

[Updated: Thanks to commentator Aldous for pointing out an error in my original predictions–I had Montana for Obama and neglected to include Nevada]

I am not, by any stretch, and expert at polling–presidential or otherwise. By that doesn’t stop most of the talking heads from bloviating and spewing silliness.

Therefore, I thought I’d have some fun and post my predictions for Tuesday’s Presidential election.

Final: Obama over McCain 349-189

I think Obama ends up winning a significant electoral victory–swing states such as Virginia, Ohio, and Florida will break for Obama. He also picks up New Mexico and Colorado out west.

States that break Obama
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Hawaii
Illinois
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
Washington, D.C.
Wisconsin

I am not basing this prediction on anything overly sophisticated–simply a combination of watching various polls, etc, making a gut call. At the end of the day, Obama ran the better campaign and had the better field operations. Why not have a little fun, right?

Feel free to post your predictions in the comments section. Happy Voting!