by Dan Nexon
30 August 2012, 1948 EDT
Daniel H. Nexon is a Professor at Georgetown University, with a joint appointment in the Department of Government and the School of Foreign Service. His academic work focuses on international-relations theory, power politics, empires and hegemony, and international order. He has also written on the relationship between popular culture and world politics.
He has held fellowships at Stanford University's Center for International Security and Cooperation and at the Ohio State University's Mershon Center for International Studies. During 2009-2010 he worked in the U.S. Department of Defense as a Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellow. He was the lead editor of International Studies Quarterly from 2014-2018.
He is the author of The Struggle for Power in Early Modern Europe: Religious Conflict, Dynastic Empires, and International Change (Princeton University Press, 2009), which won the International Security Studies Section (ISSS) Best Book Award for 2010, and co-author of Exit from Hegemony: The Unraveling of the American Global Order (Oxford University Press, 2020). His articles have appeared in a lot of places. He is the founder of the The Duck of Minerva, and also blogs at Lawyers, Guns and Money.
Very interesting. Too bad about the book.
I like the argument and agree that having the airforce as an independent bureaucracy increases the likelihood that they will oversell the effectiveness of airpower, but would contend that this understates the extent to which politicians themselves have an incentive to over-rely on airpower, especially in an age of post-heroic warfare. Airpower enthusiasts are not the only ones that are easily distracted by cool toys and anti-Clausewitzian in the sense of tying to negate the fundamentally political character of war. Clausewitz is so important precisely because most strategic thinkers before AND after him have failed to grasp this. So, even if those assets were to be devolved to the other branches or if forces were re-arranged in any other way, strategists and politicians, motivated by domestic political considerations, wishful thinking and a misunderstanding of the nature of war would probably still rely too much on airpower and whatever new fad comes next (cyber, nano, robots?).